MLS: The Impact of a Red Card (part three)
|Part 1: Leaguewide stats|
Part 2: Better or Worse, Outcomes Changed
Back with more details on the history of red cards in MLS. Now I'm looking at the team stats. Be sure to check out the first two parts as well. This data is through 2008, and includes only regular season games.
How many times has each team gone up or down a man?
Games refers to the total number of regular season games played all time. Look at that New York number for times down. Wow. That's only 17 more than their nearest competitors.
When Up 1 Man
The Revs have actually let in more goals than they've scored while up a man throughout MLS history (at least until this year). Toronto is in that category too, but that only takes into account two years of data from poor teams.
Dallas, DC United, Kansas City, Los Angeles, and San Jose have all done excellent jobs of making their man advantage count.
When Down 1 Man
Chicago, Columbus, and Colorado have been the best teams while down a man. Meanwhile, Dallas, New England, and Kansas City have gotten killed.
Outcomes by Team
This includes only the 389 instances where a game only had one red card (just like in part two), because it gets tricky to measure otherwise. How did each team do when it came to the result they ended up with after going a man up or down?
As seen in that link, the leaguewide averages for teams that go up a man are: 19.3% end up with a better result, 7.5% end up with a worse result, and the other 73.3% end up with the same result.
Going a Man Up
NY not fairing so well here, while KC looks even more impressive (LA too). The final column is the net percentage of positive results (better minus worse).
Going a Man Down
Dallas gets absolutely crushed here. DC as well, with no positive results. Now they have improved their end result twice while down a man in MLS history, just not in the games that only contained one red card (which make up this data here). You'll probably remember the last minute winner by Emilio last year at Chicago playing 9 on 10.
NY actually does very well here, ending up with an equal number of better and worse results. Same for Colorado, while Real Salt Lake is actually in the positive (1 worse, 12 even, 2 better).
Labels: red cards