Friday, October 30, 2009

MLS Sporcle Quizzes

I've made a couple of new ones. A great way to kill some free time!

  • MLS Players Off The Pitch - How familiar are you with the off the field activities of past and present MLSers? Includes both well-known and obscure examples.
  • First MLS Game - Name the players and more from the April 6, 1996 clash between San Jose and DC United.

See this Bigsoccer thread for more MLS related Sporcle quizzes and discussion.

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Wednesday, October 28, 2009

MLS Goal Details 2009

Taken from the game guide pdfs on MLSnet. They appear each week, and also in the playoffs. For the non-playoff teams who played each other last week (NY-TOR, KC-DC), I've added in the stats myself.

I'll say it again: MLS should really promote these stats as they are very detailed and interesting and just get buried in the game guides.


Totals

Goals 571 100.00%



Right Foot 300 52.54%
Left Foot 155 27.15%
Headers 114 19.96%
Other 2 0.35%



Open Play 289 50.61%
Cross 111 19.44%
Corner 43 7.53%
Rebound 24 4.20%
Penalties 49 8.58%
Direct From FK 18 3.15%
FK (indirect) 19 3.33%
Own goals 18 3.15%



Inside Goal Area 152 26.62%
Inside Penalty Area 339 59.37%
Outside Penalty Area 80 14.01%


Compared to Previous Years


2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009







Right Foot 48.21% 56.62% 57.65% 57.72% 53.98% 52.54%
Left Foot 32.65% 23.77% 26.64% 23.75% 26.90% 27.15%
Headers 18.37% 18.15% 15.51% 17.57% 18.44% 19.96%
Other 0.77% 1.45% 0.20% 0.97% 0.68% 0.35%







Open Play 52.04% 51.72% 49.50% 47.30% 51.78% 50.61%
Cross 21.43% 19.60% 18.09% 18.34% 18.61% 19.44%
Corner 6.63% 6.53% 7.36% 8.11% 6.77% 7.53%
Rebound N/A N/A 7.36% 7.14% 6.09% 4.20%
Penalties 9.95% 9.07% 6.96% 9.07% 6.09% 8.58%
Direct From FK 2.55% 3.45% 2.98% 3.09% 2.88% 3.15%
FK (indirect) 5.36% 6.72% 5.57% 5.21% 5.08% 3.33%
Own goals 2.04% 2.90% 2.19% 1.74% 2.71% 3.15%







Inside Goal Area 26.79% 25.05% 26.84% 22.59% 21.15% 26.62%
Inside Penalty Area 61.99% 60.80% 56.86% 62.16% 60.74% 59.37%
Outside Penalty Area 11.22% 14.16% 16.30% 15.25% 18.10% 14.01%


Team Breakdowns: Offense


CHI CHV CLB COL DAL DC HOU KC LA NE NY RSL SEA SJ TOR
Goals 39 34 41 42 50 43 39 33 36 33 27 43 38 36 37
















Right Foot 16 21 18 25 31 28 18 13 16 17 18 22 22 11 24
Left Foot 15 9 10 10 9 8 11 15 11 6 6 14 12 15 4
Headers 7 3 13 7 10 7 10 5 9 10 3 7 4 10 9
Other 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
















Open Play 22 19 15 23 27 21 16 13 19 14 15 25 25 14 21
Cross 7 7 12 6 9 4 10 8 6 11 3 7 5 10 6
Corner 2 0 6 1 5 2 6 3 4 0 0 4 7 0 3
Rebound 0 2 1 4 0 2 0 2 1 1 3 1 1 2 4
Penalties 4 3 4 5 3 8 2 2 3 5 3 2 0 5 0
Direct From FK 1 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 1 1 1 0 1 1
FK (indirect) 1 1 1 0 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 1
Own goals 2 2 0 1 1 1 0 2 2 0 1 3 0 2 1
















Inside Goal Area 4 10 11 10 14 8 16 16 9 8 8 7 14 9 8
Inside Penalty Area 29 20 28 25 24 29 16 9 21 22 15 33 21 23 24
Outside Penalty Area 6 4 2 7 12 6 7 8 6 3 4 3 3 4 5


Team Breakdowns: Defense


CHI CHV CLB COL DAL DC HOU KC LA NE NY RSL SEA SJ TOR
Goals 34 31 31 38 47 44 29 42 31 37 47 35 29 50 46
















Right Foot 20 18 14 17 22 20 19 27 18 17 24 20 14 24 26
Left Foot 8 6 11 9 15 12 5 7 8 14 14 10 10 14 12
Headers 6 7 6 12 10 11 5 8 5 6 9 5 5 12 7
Other 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
















Open Play 15 17 17 16 22 19 15 22 13 16 27 20 18 25 26
Cross 5 6 7 5 7 10 4 9 7 6 10 9 4 12 10
Corner 2 1 1 5 7 2 6 2 3 5 1 2 0 4 2
Rebound 2 1 2 3 2 2 0 3 2 0 3 2 2 1 0
Penalties 5 3 1 5 4 5 2 3 5 2 5 1 1 3 4
Direct From FK 2 1 2 1 2 1 0 1 1 3 1 0 0 1 2
FK (indirect) 2 1 0 3 0 3 2 2 0 1 0 1 1 2 1
Own goals 1 1 1 0 3 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 3 2 1
















Inside Goal Area 7 10 6 10 15 12 6 13 13 12 10 10 7 13 9
Inside Penalty Area 20 17 20 25 26 28 19 22 14 17 29 18 19 33 31
Outside Penalty Area 7 4 5 3 6 4 4 7 4 8 8 7 3 4 6

If you're looking at this really carefully, you may notice an error. For offense, there are 289 open play goals and 24 rebounds, as well as 152 inside goal area and 339 inside penalty area. For defense, the numbers are 288-25 and 153-338. I checked, and it's not from any of the non-playoff teams that I manually added. Maybe at a later date I'll go through each week's game guides to find the error...not now.

Some interesting things to point out:

Corner kick goals. For the past four seasons, the MLS Cup winner has been in the top three percentage wise. Here's this year's breakdown:



Corners Goals PCT
1 SEA 167 7 4.19%
2 CLB 144 6 4.17%
2 HOU 144 6 4.17%
4 DAL 146 5 3.42%
5 LA 138 4 2.90%
6 RSL 160 4 2.50%
7 TOR 129 3 2.33%
8 KC 157 3 1.91%
9 DC 127 2 1.57%
10 CHI 183 2 1.09%
11 COL 134 1 0.75%
12 CHV 129 0 0.00%
12 NE 118 0 0.00%
12 NY 135 0 0.00%
12 SJ 157 0 0.00%






Total 2168 43 1.98%


The total PCT of 1.98% is lower this year:


Corners Goals PCT
2009 2168 43 1.98%
2008 1980 40 2.02%
2007 1826 42 2.30%
2006 1751 37 2.11%
2005 1776 36 2.03%
2004 1554 26 1.67%

Of course, keep in mind that due to the way MLS counts things, there are actually more goals scored off corners. I believe that if a corner is sent in and headed on goal, parried by the keeper back to an attacker who then puts in home, that would count as a rebound goal rather than a corner goal. And Blanco's corner vs CHV last week would go down as an own goal, because that's a separate category.

Stuff that jumped out at me:
  • KC and SJ were the only teams with more left-footed goals than right-footed.
  • LA only allowed 13 goals from "open play," the fewest in the league.
  • DAL led the league by far in goals scored outside the area. CLB was last.
  • CLB had the most goals with the head, and also lead the league in goals from crosses. They were right among the leaders in corner goals as well.
  • SEA didn't allowed a goal off a corner all year. I would include "defensive corner" percentages, but I have no way of easily getting corners against stats without going through all the match reports.
  • HOU and KC had the highest rates of goals scored "inside goal area," which means the six-yard box.
  • CHI and NE both were at the top of goals against from outside the area. Will we see any long distance bombs in their series?
  • NE gave away 4 own goals this year, the most in any year so far (2004-09).
See anything else interesting?

Further Reading


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Tuesday, October 27, 2009

OTFATT 2009: Final Update

Previous Updates

#1 4/12 68 players remaining
#2 5/25 34 players remaining
#3 6/25 23 players remaining
#4 7/19 11 players remaining
#5
8/17
5 players remaining

OTFATT is short for "On the field, all the time." In these updates throughout the season, I've kept track of which MLS players have played every minute of every game (regular season only).

The season is over, and we have four survivors: three you could've guessed in March (Busch, Hartman, Onstad) and one that shocked everyone (Barnes). The only player to drop off in the past two months was Joe Cannon, who was rested by San Jose in a couple of their meaningless final games.

Darrius Barnes benefited from the injury to Gabrielle Badilla in preseason and never looked back. Kind of like Michael Parkhurst's story, who replaced the worn out Carlos Llamosa in 2005. The two NE center backs from ACC colleges are the last two rookies to accomplish the feat. Nick Garcia in 2000 is the only other rookie on the list below.

Some stats:
  • Playing every minute is still a rare feat, it's only happened 39 times over the past 14 seasons (by 29 different players).
  • Goalkeepers have taken the all time edge over field players: 20-19. That's actually the first time they've held the edge in league history, and I'd be shocked to see it swing back the other way.
  • KC players have accomplished OTFATT 10 times, leading the league. Runners up are NE with 7.
  • 5 teams have not had a player play every minute: CHV, DAL, MIA, SEA, and TOR.
  • Kevin Hartman has played every minute for three straight season; that's unprecedented. He holds the league record for consecutive minutes played.
  • Jon Busch is back on the list for a second straight year. He's the sixth player to repeat after Peter Vermes (1999-00), Scott Garlick (2000-01), Pat Onstad (2005-06), Matt Reis (2006-07), and Kevin Hartman (2007-09).
  • A total of 8 players have multiple appearances: the six mentioned in the last bullet point, and also Joe Cannon and Nick Rimando.

1996-2009: Played Every Minute

(players in bold played every minute of every game in all competitions, goalkeepers in italics)

1996 Preki (KC), Steve Trittschuh (COL)
1997 Mike Burns (NE)
1998 (none)
1999 Peter Vermes (COL)
2000 Joseph Addo (TB), Nick Garcia (KC), Scott Garlick (TB), Peter Vermes (KC)
2001 Scott Garlick (TB/COL), Tim Howard (NY), Steve Jolley (NY), Zach Thornton (CHI), Kerry Zavagnin (KC)
2002 Nick Rimando (DC)
2003 Tony Meola (KC)
2004 Joe Cannon (COL), Jim Curtin (CHI), Richard Mulrooney (SJ), Steve Ralston (NE)
2005 Todd Dunivant (LA), Simon Elliott (CLB), Pat Onstad (SJ), Bo Oshoniyi (KC), Michael Parkhurst (NE)
2006 Pat Onstad (HOU), Matt Reis (NE)
2007
Kevin Hartman (KC), Chris Klein (RSL/LA), Matt Reis (NE)
2008
Jon Busch (CHI), Joe Cannon (SJ), Jimmy Conrad (KC), Kevin Hartman (KC), Jay Heaps (NE), Nick Rimando (RSL)
2009
Darrius Barnes (NE), Jon Busch (CHI), Kevin Hartman (KC), Pat Onstad (HOU)


Order of teams being totally wiped out for 2009, with last surviving player:

1. NY - Dane Richards (4/18)
2. CLB - Brian Carroll (5/27)
3. SEA - Jhon Kennedy Hurtado (6/14)
4. RSL - Will Johnson (6/27)
5. LA - Omar Gonzalez (6/28)
6. TOR - Adrian Serioux (7/18)
7. COL - Jordan Harvey (7/18)
8. DAL - David Ferreira (8/1)
9. CHV - Carey Talley & Zach Thornton (8/8)
10. DC - Bryan Namoff (8/15)
11. SJ - Joe Cannon (9/27)

*Toronto's Nick Garcia was eliminated on 8/15. However, he was traded mid-season and had played every minute he was available for two teams - SJ & TOR. Toronto themselves had no players left after Adrian Serioux.

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Monday, October 26, 2009

All Time Best MLS Teams Post Updated!

I won't put it on the main page because it's such a long post, so check it out here:

All Time Best & Worst MLS Teams (single season & multiple)

How do this year's teams stack up?
  • Columbus lost three of their last four, which means that they ended up tied for the worst Supporters Shield winners ever with the 2004 Crew. Technically though, I have the 2009 version ranked ahead due to goal difference.
  • With the parity this year, the Crew only ended up with the 32nd best regular season in league history.
  • RSL had their best year ever (on GD over last year), as did Toronto. Still, neither of them have had a winning record yet. No other team ended up with a best or worst year in franchise history. New York needed a point to avoid their worst year ever on the final day, and they did it.
  • Speaking of NY, the Red Bulls only ended up as the 5th worst single season ever.

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Sunday, October 25, 2009

MLS Week 32 Notes

This is my favorite time of the year to blog. Not because it's playoff time, but rather because the regular season is over and I can get into the business of comparing this year's teams historically. I'll have plenty of material in the coming weeks, so check back often.

However, there's still two more games to play today. Let's discuss some things that happened this weekend first.

1) New England must get a result (win or draw) today in Columbus to return to the MLS playoffs. But that's not all - the Revolution streak of seven straight years in the playoffs is at stake. That's not just tops in Major League Soccer, but tied for 6th among the top five sports leagues in the US. Click on the link for a full list (which has yet to be updated with the latest MLB season, but that doesn't affect the Revs' position). Only the Red Wings, Spurs, Devils, Mavericks, and Pistons have longer streaks. It would also be Steve Nicol's first season without making it (not counting his interim coaching stint in 1999).


2) Team MVP winners are starting to be announced. They're usually given out at the team's last home game, though not every team does that. Already, I've seen articles naming Jeff Cunningham, Shalrie Joseph, Josh Wolff, and Nat Borchers (interesting) as winners. Check out the full list of previous winners (1996-2008) here, which I'll be sure to update once all 2009 winners are known.


3) All of the interconference games are done, and for the first time in five seasons, the west has finished on top. The final record was 45-37-30, with the Los Angeles Galaxy dominating to the tune of 8-1-5 vs eastern opponents. That does mean that LA was under .500 against its own conference, interestingly.

In the 14 MLS seasons, the east has been the top conference/division 7 times (96-97, 03, 05-08) and the west has been on top 6 times (98-99, 01-02, 04, 09). The extinct central division was first in 2000, with the west finishing second. So I guess you could say that both east and west have been better than the other an equal 7 times.


4) Barring something crazy, Jeff Cunningham is the 2009 MLS Golden Boot winner with 17 goals. At the age of 32.86 (on July 1st), he's the oldest winner (see Golden Boot Ages). Previously, Alex Pineda Chacon was the oldest at 31.53 years of age. Let's hope Cunningham doesn't fall off the way he did.


5) Questionable coaching decisions last night?

  • In all the all-important final match, Gary Smith started Preston Burpo over Matt Pickens in goal for the Rapids. I know their fans weren't happy about that, and it looks like their fears were justified with the way the match turned out. You have to question him leaving his line on the second goal and also the angle on the third (Yura's). Speaking of which, Movsisyan is always great on breakaways and one-on-ones. Possibly the best in the league in those situations.
  • It was surprising to see Schellas Hyndman wait until the 81st minute to insert Marvin Chavez into the match for Dallas. He waited 20 minutes after the equalizer to make an offensive substitution in a situation where their season depended on another goal.
  • Tom Soehn didn't start Jaime Moreno, among other "really interesting roster moves". I only watched the last 15 minutes, but he looked like the biggest threat on the field for United. Of course, they were so close to a game winner and a playoff berth in stoppage time, and then Soehn would've been something of a genius. DC's failure to make the playoffs may not look like a huge collapse based on the weekly standings, but it was. They had five straight league games at home before last night and only went 2-3-0.

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Wednesday, October 21, 2009

2009 MLS Awards Voting Details

Voting for the 2009 MLS Year End Awards is underway. I've learned some interesting things about this season's voting process:

1) For the Best XI, Cuauhtemoc Blanco and Landon Donovan are listed as midfielders this year, while Guillermo Barros Schelotto is listed as a forward. You may remember the unfortunate situation from two years ago, where Blanco was a finalist for the MVP award yet missing from the Best XI. That was because MLS only allows two forwards on the Best XI, and that year he and the other two MVP finalists (Juan Pablo Angel and Luciano Emilio) were all in the forwards category.

So for this season, with no Donovan in the way, I'd expect Jeff Cunningham and Schelotto to be the two forwards. If Donovan had been listed as a forward, then we could've seen a repeat of Blanco 2007 if those three players end up as the MVP finalists.


2) Rookie of the Year. Eligible for the voting are Alex Grendi (127 minutes played), Stefan Dimitrov (124), Danny Cruz (107), Michael Holody (80), Peri Marosevic (47), and Andrew Dykstra (0, seriously). Missing are Nick Zimmerman (757), Graham Zusi (434) and O'Brian White (343).

How is player who hasn't played a game in the running when others who have actually contributed aren't? From what I understand, MLS teams are responsible for providing nominees, so they're likely to blame. But hey, Dykstra did get 90 minutes in the Open Cup.


3) Jhon Kennedy Hurtado will not be among the Newcomer of the Year finalists. Neither will his Sounders teammate Osvaldo Alonso. Seattle's nominees for the position are Keller, Ljungberg, and Moreno (I believe the limit is three for each team), so the other two aren't in the running.

Meanwhile, Hurtado is listed as 5th by the MLSnet Awards Tracker for that award.


4) Referee Jorge Gonzalez, who made the awful diving call on Chris Rolfe this past weekend, is one of six people in the running for Referee of the Year. If he turns out to be a finalist, I'll be really disappointed.

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Friday, October 16, 2009

FIFA Business: Seeding Formula, Pots, & 2014 Spots

1) The 2010 seeding formula. Using the previous formula (from 2006), it appears that Portugal's resurgence may see them get seeded after all at the expense of France. They were always in good shape as long as they managed to qualify, and that looks very likely now. The same eight teams have been in the running ever since July 2006, so one good team is going to get let out no matter what.

Now despite what the formula shows us currently, we can never be certain as to what FIFA will actually do. The average person on the street would probably say that the previous World Cup runner up (France) should be seeded ahead of a team that barely qualified (Argentina). Remember, they've changed it slightly the past few World Cups.

BTW, I didn't see this Soccernet article until now. US Soccer president Sunil Gulati doesn't know what the formula was in 2006. He said it included "...50 percent for performance over the last three World Cups" which is incorrect. Acutally, they only used the past two World Cups for the 2006 formula. Also wrong is author Frank Dell'Apa, so I guess that gives you an idea of how many people really follow this stuff closely. I'd really expect Gulati to know better.

Anyway, there's speculation that this time only the current FIFA ranking could be used, maybe by itself or in conjunction with the previous World Cup performance half of the formula. I would approve such a decision. Why? Well, one thing that I always forget about until somebody mentions it is the fact that because the FIFA rankings half of the formula includes snapshots from three separate years (12/2007, 12/2008, 11/2009), matches from some years count more than others.

The current FIFA rankings procedure takes into account the past four years worth of results (before 2006 it was eight years). Those results are weighted 100-50-30-20. If the seeding formula stays the same and uses three years worth of FIFA rankings, what they're doing is this:


Dec-07 Dec-08 Nov-09 Total PCT
2009

100 100 16.7%
2008
100 50 150 25.0%
2007 100 50 30 180 30.0%
2006 50 30 20 100 16.7%
2005 30 20
50 8.3%
2004 20

20 3.3%

So matches from 2007 are counted the most, closely followed by 2008. Compare this to only using Nov-09:



Only

Current Nov-09
2009 17% 50%
2008 25% 25%
2007 30% 15%
2006 17% 10%
2005 8%
2004 3%

It makes more sense to do it this way when determined who should be seeded for next year. The whole idea of using the rankings in the formula is to measure who's the best right now, isn't it? And then since the other half involves previous World Cups, that half is for who was the best in the past, which gives you a formula that involves both past and present.


2) Not only will FIFA have to decide what formula to use, they'll also have to decide the four pots for the World Cup draw. Unless they decide to seed all pots (which IMO is a good idea, but that's another post), the top pot should consist of seeded teams and the second pot of UEFA teams. That leaves the following 16 teams left:

4.5 - AFC
5.0 - CAF
2.5 - CONMEBOL
3.5 - CONCACAF
0.5 - OFC

Last time, AFC/CONCACAF/OFC was one pot and CAF/CONMEBOL was another. Before, it ws CAF/CONCACAF. What will they do this time?

If Uruguay wins the playoff with Costa Rica, it makes things simple. CONCACAF and CONMEBOL would each be at three teams, and either could be paired with the five teams of AFC/OFC or CAF. If Costa Rica & New Zealand win, then you would expect the only option to be AFC/CONCACAF (4 + 4) and CAF/CONMEBOL/OFC (5 + 2 + 1).

But if Costa Rica & Bahrain win, things get messy:

5.0 - AFC
5.0 - CAF
2.0 - CONMEBOL
4.0 - CONCACAF
0.0 - OFC

Now this is where Edgar has suggested we could see the return of the dreaded "special pot" which was used for Serbia & Montenegro in 2006 when things didn't add up evenly. That's something to look out for.

Or, they could just draw the groups instead of the teams which would be the fairer way to do it. That probably makes too much sense for FIFA, though.


3) I was discussing the possible 2014 World Cup qualifying playoffs on Bigsoccer the other day. No, it's not too early. Will the number of spots for each confederation change? Here's what I was thinking:

The interesting thing for 2014 will be how Brazil hosting affects things. For 2010, they decided to give CAF 5 spots plus the host spot for a total of 6. That never used to be the case; before, they would've given CAF 4+host for a total of 5 (taking the host spot out of the normal number).

So if they continue with the 2010 policy, Brazil as host should mean their spot wouldn't come out of the 4.5 for CONMEBOL. However, 5.5 total spots for that region (out of 10 teams) seems like a lot. Remember, for 2006 they originally reduced it to 4 (giving OFC a full spot) before changing it back. I would be kind of surprised to see CONMEBOL with 5.5.

Given the way AFC didn't lose their spots after 2002, I wonder if FIFA might do something like give CONMEBOL only 4+host and then give the extra 0.5 to CAF.

Thoughts?

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Thursday, October 15, 2009

CONCACAF Hex Statistics

The hexagonal or "hex" has been in its current form for four cycles: 1998/2002/2006/2010. The fourth edition has just been completed. The USA and Mexico are now tied with identical all time records of 22-8-10, though Mexico is ahead with a better goal differential.

What else is new statistically? Carlos Pavon of Honduras won the golden boot for the second time (2002, 2010), and also became the hex's all time leading scorer. His 7 goals also tied for the most in one hex with Mexico's Carlos Hermosillo in 1998. This was also the highest scoring edition, as well as the one with the largest home field advantage. Home teams combined for a 20-5-5 record.

The top team in hex history is still 2002 Costa Rica with 23 points. They're immediately followed in the rankings by all 8 Mexico and USA teams. See below for the full list.

Some hex statistics:

Goals per Game & Draw Percentage


Goals Draws
1998 2.53 43.3%
2002 2.43 20.0%
2006 2.77 13.3%
2010 2.93 16.7%



OVR 2.67 23.3%


Home Field Advantage


HFA Home Away
1998 1.30 1.93 0.63
2002 0.40 1.60 1.20
2006 1.40 2.13 0.73
2010 1.50 2.17 0.67




OVR 1.15 1.96 0.81

Measured as home PPG minus away PPG. For comparison, the all time home field advantage in MLS is around 0.67 PPG.


Golden Boot Winners

1998 Carlos Hermosillo 7 MEX
2002 Rolando Fonseca 5 CR

Carlos Pavon 5 HON

Cuauhtemoc Blanco 5 MEX

Earnie Stewart 5 USA
2006 Francisco Fonseca 6 MEX

Stern John 6 TRI
2010 Carlos Pavon 7 HON

Pavon becomes the first two-time winner, and who would've guessed it a year ago?


Team Ranking




GP W L D Pts PPG GF GA GD
1 2002 Costa Rica 10 7 1 2 23 2.30 17 7 10
2 2006 Mexico 10 7 2 1 22 2.20 22 9 13
3 2006 United States 10 7 2 1 22 2.20 16 6 10
4 2010 United States 10 6 2 2 20 2.00 19 13 6
5 2010 Mexico 10 6 3 1 19 1.90 18 12 6
6 1998 Mexico 10 4 0 6 18 1.80 23 7 16
7 1998 United States 10 4 1 5 17 1.70 17 9 8
8 2002 Mexico 10 5 3 2 17 1.70 16 9 7
9 2002 United States 10 5 3 2 17 1.70 11 8 3
10 2010 Honduras 10 5 4 1 16 1.60 17 11 6
11 2006 Costa Rica 10 5 4 1 16 1.60 15 14 1
12 2010 Costa Rica 10 5 4 1 16 1.60 15 15 0
13 2002 Honduras 10 4 4 2 14 1.40 17 17 0
14 1998 Jamaica 10 3 2 5 14 1.40 7 12 -5
15 2006 Trinidad 10 4 5 1 13 1.30 10 15 -5
16 1998 Costa Rica 10 3 4 3 12 1.20 13 12 1
17 2006 Guatemala 10 3 5 2 11 1.10 16 18 -2
18 1998 El Salvador 10 2 4 4 10 1.00 11 16 -5
19 2010 El Salvador 10 2 6 2 8 0.80 9 15 -6
20 2002 Jamaica 10 2 6 2 8 0.80 7 14 -7
21 2010 Trinidad 10 1 6 3 6 0.60 10 22 -12
22 1998 Canada 10 1 6 3 6 0.60 5 20 -15
23 2002 Trinidad 10 1 7 2 5 0.50 5 18 -13
24 2006 Panama 10 0 8 2 2 0.20 4 21 -17


Overall Performance (1998-2010)



GP W L D Pts PPG GF GA GD
1 Mexico 40 22 8 10 76 1.90 79 37 42
2 United States 40 22 8 10 76 1.90 63 36 27
3 Costa Rica 40 20 13 7 67 1.68 60 48 12
4 Honduras 20 9 8 3 30 1.50 34 28 6
5 Trinidad 30 6 18 6 24 0.80 25 55 -30
6 Jamaica 20 5 8 7 22 1.10 14 26 -12
7 El Salvador 20 4 10 6 18 0.90 20 31 -11
8 Guatemala 10 3 5 2 11 1.10 16 18 -2
9 Canada 10 1 6 3 6 0.60 5 20 -15
10 Panama 10 0 8 2 2 0.20 4 21 -17


Leading Goalscorers



Total
1998 2002 2006 2010
HON Carlos Pavon 12

5
7
CR Paulo Wanchope 10
3 4 3
TRI Stern John 9

3 6
MEX Cuauhtemoc Blanco 8

5
3
MEX Carlos Hermosillo 7
7


MEX Jared Borgetti 7

3 4
CR Alvaro Saborio 6


2 4
MEX Francisco Fonseca 6


6
USA Earnie Stewart 6
1 5

USA Landon Donovan 6


3 3

Pavon passed Wanchope on September 5th, 2009, with his second goal in the 4-1 win over Trinidad & Tobago.

No player has scored in all four hexes. Three have scored in 3/4: Ronald Gomez, Pavel Pardo, and Wanchope.

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Friday, October 09, 2009

WCQ Time

Once again, it's that time of the calendar. I expect the US to take care of business, so I'll be looking at how the other matches will affect us.

If you haven't heard, the big news is that Sepp Blatter announced a week ago that teams will be seeded in UEFA's World Cup qualifying playoffs. The eight playoff teams will be split into two pots based on their FIFA ranking.

I'm disappointed by this announcement. First of all, regardless of your opinion on the decision, it's wrong to wait until the competition is almost over to give us the details of the playoff draw. This should've been announced before a single European qualifier had been played. But it's not unexpected, because the same thing happened four years ago. Not just the seeding, but also the fact that they didn't decide on it until right before qualifying ended (link). We ended up with Spain vs Slovakia, remember?

Second, I don't see why the big teams need to be protected. If France and Germany both end up in the playoffs, why not have the possibility that both can be drawn against each other? Well, I know why it's this way, but it doesn't make it fair. Teams were already seeded once when the groups were drawn. If France can't win its group as the top seed, then why do they deserve any more protection? I really thought things might be different with Michel Platini in charge of UEFA, especially after the way he restructured the Champions League.

How will the seeding change things? As always, Edgar at Football Rankings is on top of the likely FIFA rankings. Based on probable results, we're looking at the following pots:

Pot 1: Croatia, France, Portugal, Russia
Pot 2: Bosnia, Czech, Greece, Ireland

France would've still been favored to qualify without this seeding, but now it just makes things easier for them (and Germany/Russia, Portugal) which also has an impact on American soccer. Protecting the big teams likely makes the 2010 World Cup harder for the United States. However slightly, this does hurt our chances for advancing from the group stage (due to a greater likelihood of a tough draw), as well as our chances for being seeded in future World Cups. As for FIFA's decision making, as Gabriele Marcotti wrote yesterday, regardless of how you examine it they don't come off looking good.

This week's qualifiers

As an American, we want the following results:

1) Russia vs Germany. This is the big one. We want Russia to defeat Germany and go on to take the automatic berth. Germany is one of the top teams who rarely miss out on qualification and they probably still won't, but at least there's a chance they could be shocked in the playoffs.

2) Argentina. Again, it's not likely, but we should still want them to finish 6th. It's not like Costa Rica could take them in the playoffs, so 5th is as good as qualified. Anyway, they should defeat Peru at home, before traveling to Uruguay for the final match. Assuming that happens, Uruguay must get at least a point in Ecuador tomorrow so that they can still pass Argentina in the final match with a win. Actually, that result is key. Ecuador can still pass Argentina on the final day no matter what happens on Saturday, so we definitely don't want them to win.

It'll also probably be necessary for one or both of Colombia/Ecuador to win away on the final day. Here's what we should be hoping for in CONMEBOL:

Bolivia vs Brazil - meaningless
Argentina vs Peru - Peru win
Colombia vs Chile - Colombia win
Ecuador vs Uruguay - draw (or URU win)
Venezuela vs Paraguay - Venezuela win



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Paraguay vs Colombia - Colombia win
Uruguay vs Argentina - Uruguay win
Peru vs Bolivia - meaningless
Brazil vs Venezuela - Venezuela win
Chile vs Ecuador - Ecuador win

I don't expect Colombia or Venezuela to get those results, so we're relying on Ecuador and Uruguay. Don't forget to check out the CONMEBOL results simulator, which is great fun.

3) Portugal. They're a team with more potential than Sweden, and I'd like to see them crash out. Saturday's matches are key, since both are likely to easily win on Wednesday (Portugal vs Malta, Sweden vs Albania). Portugal should beat Hungary, so Sweden will need a result in Denmark. A draw there probably won't be good enough. If Sweden-Denmark ends in a draw and Portugal wins, Portugal will be ahead going into the final matchday. At the very least (a one goal win), they would be ahead on goals scored and they have a much easier final opponent. Sweden really needs to win in Denmark. They're capable of that; remember the Euro 2008 qualifier where they were going to win there until the match was abandoned?

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