2010 Seeding Formula: June 2007 Update
|The latest FIFA rankings are out. Assuming all the highest ranked teams qualify, here's how the race for the 2010 seeds looks as of now. South Africa is guaranteed a seed as hosts. For more details on how the formula works, please see here.|
Top Seven Teams Seeded
As you can see, there are basically 8 teams fighting for the 7 seeds. Little has changed since the new cycle began, but things will be getting very exciting shortly. In November, the World Cup qualifying draws will be made. That will have an impact on these rankings, especially when it comes to the Euro teams. In addition, this December is the first of the three months (12/08, 11/09) that make up the final ranking. With all the tournaments going on this summer, we'll see lots of changes in the FIFA rankings before then.
That's especially good news for the USA, because the Gold Cup gives us a chance to move up. We moved up to 16th just based on the China, Guatemala, and Trinidad games. If we win the tournament, and get out of the group stage at the Copa America, we should definitely crack the top ten again.
It's extremely unlikely for us to end up being seeded in 2010, but with a top ten ranking and some luck with the other teams, it could happen. It would probably require 2 of the top 8 failing to qualify.
Pot 1: Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, Portugal, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Croatia, Czech Republic, Greece, Netherlands, Romania, Sweden, Ukraine
Pot 3: Australia, Costa Rica, Iran, Japan, Korea Republic, Mexico, USA, Uzbekistan
Pot 4: Argentina, Cameroon, Colombia, Cote d'Ivoire, Ghana, Morocco, Nigeria, Paraguay, Uruguay
Group A: South Africa, Czech Republic, USA, Paraguay
Group B: Spain, Ukraine, Mexico, Nigeria
Group C: France, Iran, Cote d'Ivoire, Colombia
Group D: England, Croatia, Japan, Ghana
Group E: Brazil, Sweden, Uzbekistan, Morocco
Group F: Italy, Netherlands, Costa Rica, Argentina
Group G: Portugal, Romania, Korea Republic, Uruguay
Group H: Germany, Greece, Australia, Cameroon
Argentina not being seeded would certainly create the possibility of a monster group like shown here, much more than a top Euro team not being seeded. Of course I'm doubtful something like this would happen.