MLS: The Impact of a Red Card (part three)

Part 1: Leaguewide stats Part 2: Better or Worse, Outcomes Changed Back with more details on the history of red cards in MLS. Now I'm looking at the team stats. Be sure to check out the first two parts as well. This data is through 2008, and includes only regular season games. Team Stats How many times has each team gone up or down a man? Games Up Down CHI 335 45 29 CHV 124 8 13 CLB 398 43 37 COL 398 43 43 DAL 398 42 41 DC 398 38 43 HOU 92 14 11 KC 399 46 32 LA 398 44 28 NE 399 40 35 NY 398 41 60 RSL 124 9 17 SJ 336 31 36 TOR 60 6 9 MIA 122 11 19 TB 187 14 22 Games refers to the total number of regular season games played all time. Look at that New York number for times down. Wow. That's only 17 more than their nearest competitors. When Up 1 Man Times Minutes Avg Length GF GA GF per 90 GA per 90 GD per 90 GF per time GA per time GD per time CHI 45 944 21.0 21 7 2.00 0.67 1.33 0.47 0.16 0.31 CHV 8 300 37.5 6 6 1.80 1.80 0.00 0.75 0.75 0.00 CLB 43 917 21.3 24 15 2.36 1.47 0.88 0.56 0.35 0.21 COL 43 1044 24.3 24 19 2.07 1.64 0.43 0.56 0.44 0.12 DAL 42 1029 24.5 30 11 2.62 0.96 1.66 0.71 0.26 0.45 DC 38 1064 28.0 35 14 2.96 1.18 1.78 0.92 0.37 0.55 HOU 14 386 27.6 5 2 1.17 0.47 0.70 0.36 0.14 0.21 KC 46 1183 25.7 45 18 3.42 1.37 2.05 0.98 0.39 0.59 LA 44 1389 31.6 55 14 3.56 0.91 2.66 1.25 0.32 0.93 NE 40 748 18.7 17 18 2.05 2.17 -0.12 0.43 0.45 -0.03 NY 41 1199 29.2 31 21 2.33 1.58 0.75 0.76 0.51 0.24 RSL 9 158 17.6 4 1 2.28 0.57 1.71 0.44 0.11 0.33 SJ 31 891 28.7 28 13 2.83 1.31 1.52 0.90 0.42 0.48 TOR 6 175 29.2 1 2 0.51 1.03 -0.51 0.17 0.33 -0.17 MIA 11 306 27.8 9 5 2.65 1.47 1.18 0.82 0.45 0.36 TB 14 264 18.9 10 4 3.41 1.36 2.05 0.71 0.29 0.43 The Revs have actually let in more goals than they've scored while up a man throughout MLS history (at least until this year). Toronto is in that category too, but that only takes into account two years of data from poor teams. Dallas, DC United, Kansas City, Los Angeles, and San Jose have all done excellent jobs of making their man advantage count. When Down 1 Man Times Minutes Avg Length GF GA GF per 90 GA per 90 GD per 90 GF per time GA per time GD per time CHI 29 795 27.4 20 20 2.26 2.26 0.00 0.69 0.69 0.00 CHV 13 277 21.3 2 4 0.65 1.30 -0.65 0.15 0.31 -0.15 CLB 37 970 26.2 14 18 1.30 1.67 -0.37 0.38 0.49 -0.11 COL 43 1187 27.6 20 25 1.52 1.90 -0.38 0.47 0.58 -0.12 DAL 41 1082 26.4 12 40 1.00 3.33 -2.33 0.29 0.98 -0.68 DC 43 1029 23.9 15 29 1.31 2.54 -1.22 0.35 0.67 -0.33 HOU 11 290 26.4 2 5 0.62 1.55 -0.93 0.18 0.45 -0.27 KC 32 716 22.4 7 24 0.88 3.02 -2.14 0.22 0.75 -0.53 LA 28 564 20.1 5 13 0.80 2.07 -1.28 0.18 0.46 -0.29 NE 35 821 23.5 10 33 1.10 3.62 -2.52 0.29 0.94 -0.66 NY 60 1553 25.9 23 43 1.33 2.49 -1.16 0.38 0.72 -0.33 RSL 17 327 19.2 6 11 1.65 3.03 -1.38 0.35 0.65 -0.29 SJ 36 856 23.8 8 22 0.84 2.31 -1.47 0.22 0.61 -0.39 TOR 9 207 23.0 2 5 0.87 2.17 -1.30 0.22 0.56 -0.33 MIA 19 636 33.5 14 19 1.98 2.69 -0.71 0.74 1.00 -0.26 TB 22 687 31.2 10 34 1.31 4.45 -3.14 0.45 1.55 -1.09 Chicago, Columbus, and Colorado have been the best teams while down a man. Meanwhile, Dallas, New England, and Kansas City have gotten killed. Outcomes by Team This includes only the 389 instances where a game only had one red card (just like in part two), because it gets tricky to measure otherwise. How did each team do when it came to the result they ended up with after going a man up or down? As seen in that link, the leaguewide averages for teams that go up a man are: 19.3% end up with a better result, 7.5% end up with a worse result, and the other 73.3% end up with the same result. Going a Man Up Times Better Even Worse Net CHI 29 16.7% 80.0% 3.3% 13.3% CHV 7 28.6% 42.9% 28.6% 0.0% CLB 38 18.4% 78.9% 2.6% 15.8% COL 37 18.9% 78.4% 2.7% 16.2% DAL 34 17.6% 73.5% 8.8% 8.8% DC 30 23.3% 63.3% 13.3% 10.0% HOU 14 7.1% 85.7% 7.1% 0.0% KC 41 34.1% 61.0% 2.7% 29.3% LA 37 24.3% 73.0% 2.7% 21.6% NE 33 12.1% 78.8% 9.1% 3.0% NY 35 17.1% 65.7% 17.1% 0.0% RSL 6 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% SJ 26 15.4% 73.1% 11.5% 3.8% TOR 4 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% MIA 9 11.1% 88.9% 0.0% 11.1% TB 8 25.0% 62.5% 12.5% 12.5% NY not fairing so well here, while KC looks even more impressive (LA too). The final column is the net percentage of positive results (better minus worse). Going a Man Down Times Worse Even Better Net CHI 25 24.0% 64.0% 12.0% -12.0% CHV 11 9.1% 90.9% 0.0% -9.1% CLB 30 20.0% 66.7% 13.3% -6.7% COL 33 15.2% 69.7% 15.2% 0.0% DAL 35 34.3% 60.0% 5.7% -28.6% DC 37 18.9% 81.1% 0.0% -18.9% HOU 9 22.2% 77.8% 0.0% -22.2% KC 27 14.8% 77.8% 7.4% -7.4% LA 22 18.2% 77.3% 4.5% -13.6% NE 31 16.1% 77.4% 6.5% -9.7% NY 50 10.0% 80.0% 10.0% 0.0% RSL 15 6.7% 80.0% 13.3% 6.7% SJ 27 18.5% 74.1% 7.4% -11.1% TOR 7 14.3% 85.7% 0.0% -14.3% MIA 12 33.3% 58.3% 8.3% -25.0% TB 18 38.9% 61.1% 0.0% -38.9% Dallas gets absolutely crushed here. DC as well, with no positive results. Now they have improved their end result twice while down a man in MLS history, just not in the games that only contained one red card (which make up this data here). You'll probably remember the last minute winner by Emilio last year at Chicago playing 9 on 10. NY actually does very well here, ending up with an equal number of better and worse results. Same for Colorado, while Real Salt Lake is actually in the positive (1 worse, 12 even, 2 better).