2010 Seeding Formula: July 2007 update
|The new FIFA rankings are out for July, so it's once again time to look ahead to the next World Cup.|
Top 7 teams seeded
(South Africa automatically seeded as hosts)
England and Portugal are exactly tied for the last spot as of now. I dunno how a tie would be broken, but it's unlikely we would have one when the draw is made, and also I'm sure FIFA would alter the formula somehow so it couldn't happen, thus making speculating over tiebreakers pointless.
Mexico's jump shows that if they can stay in the top ten in the FIFA rankings, they have a decent shot at a seed. Still a longshot, but they're a more likely seed than the Netherlands. Sweden's ranking decreased this month and they are replaced by Serbia, the only change.
For an FAQ on these rankings and links to previous editions, see this link.
Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Croatia, Czech Republic, Greece, Netherlands, Portugal, Romania, Serbia, Ukraine
Pot 3: Australia, Costa Rica, Iran, Japan, Korea Republic, Mexico, USA, Uzbekistan
Pot 4: Cameroon, Colombia, Cote d'Ivoire, Ghana, Morocco, Nigeria, Paraguay, Uruguay
Group A: South Africa, Romania, Iran, Colombia
Group B: Spain, Ukraine, Mexico, Paraguay
Group C: Brazil, Czech, Costa Rica, Nigeria
Group D: England, Croatia, Uzbekistan, Ghana
Group E: France, Portugal, Japan, Cameroon
Group F: Italy, Greece, South Korea, Uruguay
Group G: Argentina, Netherlands, Australia, Morocco
Group H: Germany, Serbia, USA, Cote d'Ivoire
South Africa and Italy automatically put in their groups. I picked England as a seed for this cuz they're more likely to get it in the end.