2010 Seeding Formula: July 2007 update
The new FIFA rankings are out for July, so it's once again time to look ahead to the next World Cup. Top 7 teams seeded (South Africa automatically seeded as hosts)
England and Portugal are exactly tied for the last spot as of now. I dunno how a tie would be broken, but it's unlikely we would have one when the draw is made, and also I'm sure FIFA would alter the formula somehow so it couldn't happen, thus making speculating over tiebreakers pointless. Mexico's jump shows that if they can stay in the top ten in the FIFA rankings, they have a decent shot at a seed. Still a longshot, but they're a more likely seed than the Netherlands. Sweden's ranking decreased this month and they are replaced by Serbia, the only change. For an FAQ on these rankings and links to previous editions, see this link. Mock Draw Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain Pot 2: Croatia, Czech Republic, Greece, Netherlands, Portugal, Romania, Serbia, Ukraine Pot 3: Australia, Costa Rica, Iran, Japan, Korea Republic, Mexico, USA, Uzbekistan Pot 4: Cameroon, Colombia, Cote d'Ivoire, Ghana, Morocco, Nigeria, Paraguay, Uruguay Group A: South Africa, Romania, Iran, Colombia Group B: Spain, Ukraine, Mexico, Paraguay Group C: Brazil, Czech, Costa Rica, Nigeria Group D: England, Croatia, Uzbekistan, Ghana Group E: France, Portugal, Japan, Cameroon Group F: Italy, Greece, South Korea, Uruguay Group G: Argentina, Netherlands, Australia, Morocco Group H: Germany, Serbia, USA, Cote d'Ivoire South Africa and Italy automatically put in their groups. I picked England as a seed for this cuz they're more likely to get it in the end. |
Comments on "2010 Seeding Formula: July 2007 update"
I agree that FIFA would alter the formula rather than admit a tie for the 7th seed. They don't have to admit to changing the formula, though. [Self promotion warning.]
I would be curious to see if playing in Africa will significantly help the African teams advance.
Still seems like it would be a tough group for the US though.
That looks disturbingly like 2006 for the US.