UEFA National Team Coefficients
|These are the latest UEFA coefficients for national teams, which will determine the pots used for drawing the World Cup qualifying groups in November. All the results from today are included.|
This is determined by the average number of points from games in Euro 2008 qualifying plus World Cup 2006 qualifying. First tiebreaker is PPG from the most recent competition, then average goal differential.
Italy is seeded first due to their World Cup championship. I'm assuming that Montenegro will be put in the bottom pot like Kazakhstan was. There will be 9 groups for WCQ, so the first 9 teams will comprise the first pot.
There are only a few more games for each team, so there won't be huge changes from here on out. Still, there's plenty of drama for teams on the verge of moving up or down a pot, especially for that top pot. It looks like there are 6 teams fighting for the last 3 spots in the first pot. Personally, I hope that Portugal, Spain, and France don't get there, because having those teams in the second pot could make for an exciting group of death in the WCQ. That would also be good for the USA in 2010 if the good teams don't qualify.
Spain and France are up against it, though. The best both could do is 2.181 (48/22). Romania would only need 8 points in their final 4 games to best that. Spain probably has the hardest schedule left; they play Sweden and Denmark. France will likely need to win in Ukraine in the final matchday.
Games remaining for those 6 teams:
I would project that Romania, Czech, and Portugal would take the three spots.
Pot 1: Italy, Germany, Netherlands, Croatia, Sweden, England, Romania, Czech, Poland
Pot 2: Portugal, Spain, France, Greece, Turkey, Russia, Ukraine, Serbia, Norway
Pot 3: Israel, Denmark, Switzerland, Scotland, Bulgaria, Ireland, Slovakia, Bosnia, Finland
Pot 4: Austria, N.Ireland, Hungary, Slovenia, Belgium, Albania, Lithuania, Latvia, Wales
Pot 5: Estonia, Belarus, Macedonia, Georgia, Cyprus, Armenia, Iceland, Liechtenstein, Moldova
Pot 6: Azerbaijan, Malta, Kazakhstan, Andorra, Faroe Islands, Luxembourgh, San Marino, Montenegro
WCQ MOCK DRAW
Group A: England, Portugal, Finland, Lithuania, Belarus, Montenegro
Group B: Croatia, Serbia, Denmark, Austria, Liechtenstein, Faroe Islands
Group C: Sweden, Russia, Ireland, Belgium, Macedonia, Andorra
Group D: Romania, Ukraine, Bulgaria, Latvia, Iceland, Luxembourg
Group E: Czech, Spain, Switzerland, Slovenia, Georgia, San Marino
Group F: Netherlands, Norway, Israel, Wales, Moldova, Azerbaijan
Group G: Italy, Greece, Scotland, N.Ireland, Estonia, Malta
Group H: Poland, Turkey, Bosnia, Hungary, Cyprus, Kazakhstan
Group I: Germany, France, Slovakia, Albania, Armenia
Format: 9 Group winners qualify automatically. Best 8 runners up playoff for remaining 4 spots.