Wednesday, September 12, 2007

UEFA National Team Coefficients

These are the latest UEFA coefficients for national teams, which will determine the pots used for drawing the World Cup qualifying groups in November. All the results from today are included.

This is determined by the average number of points from games in Euro 2008 qualifying plus World Cup 2006 qualifying. First tiebreaker is PPG from the most recent competition, then average goal differential.

Italy is seeded first due to their World Cup championship. I'm assuming that Montenegro will be put in the bottom pot like Kazakhstan was. There will be 9 groups for WCQ, so the first 9 teams will comprise the first pot.

There are only a few more games for each team, so there won't be huge changes from here on out. Still, there's plenty of drama for teams on the verge of moving up or down a pot, especially for that top pot. It looks like there are 6 teams fighting for the last 3 spots in the first pot. Personally, I hope that Portugal, Spain, and France don't get there, because having those teams in the second pot could make for an exciting group of death in the WCQ. That would also be good for the USA in 2010 if the good teams don't qualify.

Spain and France are up against it, though. The best both could do is 2.181 (48/22). Romania would only need 8 points in their final 4 games to best that. Spain probably has the hardest schedule left; they play Sweden and Denmark. France will likely need to win in Ukraine in the final matchday.

Games remaining for those 6 teams:

Romania 4 Netherlands (H), Luxembourg (A), Bulgaria (A), Albania (H)
Czech 3 Germany (A), Slovakia (H), Cyprus (A)
Poland 3 Kazakhstan (H), Belgium (H), Serbia (A)
Portugal 4 Azerbaijan (A), Kazakhstan (A), Armenia (H), Finland (H)
Spain 3 Denmark (A), Sweden (H), N.Ireland (H)
France 3 Faroes (A), Lithuania (H), Ukraine (A)

I would project that Romania, Czech, and Portugal would take the three spots.


RANKING



Overall Games Points
1 Italy 2.263 19 43
2 Germany 2.750 8 22
3 Netherlands 2.600 20 52
4 Croatia 2.474 19 47
5 Sweden 2.389 18 43
6 England 2.368 19 45
7 Romania 2.250 20 45
8 Czech 2.238 21 47
9 Poland 2.143 21 45





10 Portugal 2.136 22 47
11 Spain 2.053 19 39
12 France 2.053 19 39
13 Greece 2.000 20 40
14 Turkey 2.000 20 40
15 Russia 1.952 21 41
16 Ukraine 1.900 20 38
17 Serbia 1.900 20 38
18 Norway 1.842 19 35





19 Israel 1.842 19 35
20 Denmark 1.800 20 36
21 Switzerland 1.800 10 18
22 Scotland 1.789 19 34
23 Bulgaria 1.737 19 33
24 Ireland 1.632 19 31
25 Slovakia 1.571 21 33
26 Bosnia 1.526 19 29
27 Finland 1.522 23 35





28 Austria 1.500 10 15
29 N.Ireland 1.316 19 25
30 Hungary 1.211 19 23
31 Slovenia 1.158 19 22
32 Belgium 1.150 20 23
33 Albania 1.100 20 22
34 Lithuania 1.053 19 20
35 Latvia 1.050 20 21
36 Wales 1.000 18 18





37 Estonia 0.955 22 21
38 Belarus 0.895 19 17
39 Macedonia 0.810 21 17
40 Georgia 0.810 21 17
41 Cyprus 0.778 18 14
42 Armenia 0.750 20 15
43 Iceland 0.632 19 12
44 Liechtenstein 0.571 21 12
45 Moldova 0.526 19 10





46 Azerbaijan 0.444 18 8
47 Malta 0.444 18 8
48 Kazakhstan 0.364 22 8
49 Andorra 0.238 21 5
50 Faroe Islands 0.053 19 1
51 Luxembourg 0.000 21 0
52 San Marino 0.000 19 0
53 Montenegro xxx xxx xxx


CURRENT POTS

Pot 1: Italy, Germany, Netherlands, Croatia, Sweden, England, Romania, Czech, Poland
Pot 2: Portugal, Spain, France, Greece, Turkey, Russia, Ukraine, Serbia, Norway
Pot 3: Israel, Denmark, Switzerland, Scotland, Bulgaria, Ireland, Slovakia, Bosnia, Finland
Pot 4: Austria, N.Ireland, Hungary, Slovenia, Belgium, Albania, Lithuania, Latvia, Wales
Pot 5: Estonia, Belarus, Macedonia, Georgia, Cyprus, Armenia, Iceland, Liechtenstein, Moldova
Pot 6: Azerbaijan, Malta, Kazakhstan, Andorra, Faroe Islands, Luxembourgh, San Marino, Montenegro


WCQ MOCK DRAW

Group A: England, Portugal, Finland, Lithuania, Belarus, Montenegro
Group B: Croatia, Serbia, Denmark, Austria, Liechtenstein, Faroe Islands
Group C: Sweden, Russia, Ireland, Belgium, Macedonia, Andorra
Group D: Romania, Ukraine, Bulgaria, Latvia, Iceland, Luxembourg
Group E: Czech, Spain, Switzerland, Slovenia, Georgia, San Marino
Group F: Netherlands, Norway, Israel, Wales, Moldova, Azerbaijan
Group G: Italy, Greece, Scotland, N.Ireland, Estonia, Malta
Group H: Poland, Turkey, Bosnia, Hungary, Cyprus, Kazakhstan
Group I: Germany, France, Slovakia, Albania, Armenia

Format: 9 Group winners qualify automatically. Best 8 runners up playoff for remaining 4 spots.

Comments on "UEFA National Team Coefficients"

 

Blogger Jim said ... (6:24 PM, September 27, 2007) : 

Correction:
The UEFA Executive Committee also decided that the draw for the European qualifying competition for the 2010 World Cup – to take place in Durban, South Africa, on 25 November – would be based on FIFA national team rankings. The format for the European qualifiers will be eight groups of six teams, and one group of five. The nine group winners will qualify directly, with the best eight runners-up featuring in home and away play-off matches for the remaining four places.

 

Anonymous per head service said ... (5:06 PM, January 26, 2013) : 

One thing that it amazes me. It is the non-wold cup games can have a great season like Greek did.

 

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