2010 Seeding Formula: November 2007 update

The new FIFA rankings are out for November. Now that the qualifying groups are known, I'll only include 32 teams that could potentially qualify. Like for instance, if 3 of the top 13 UEFA teams in the FIFA rankings are in the same group, then I would exclude the lowest ranked one. However, that didn't occur this month. Teams listed here will always be the best ones in the rankings that could qualify, not the ones that lead the standings. Next month's FIFA rankings will be very important. It's the first month of the three that get locked into place for the rankings half of the formula. It looks like England's disappoint at not getting into Euro 2008 could have further effects. They've slipped in the FIFA rankings, and will out on points in the at the tournament as well. If the other teams stay ahead of them, then they possibly could miss out on a World Cup seed. Top 7 teams seeded (South Africa automatically seeded as hosts) Total WC FIFA Change 1 Brazil 60.3 29.3 31 0.0 2 Germany 58.3 30.3 28 0.0 3 Italy 57.3 27.3 30 0.0 4 Spain 54.3 25.3 29 2.0 5 Argentina 53.0 21.0 32 0.0 6 France 49.3 23.3 26 -3.0 7 England 47.3 26.3 21 -1.0 7 Portugal 47.3 22.3 25 0.0 9 Netherlands 38.7 14.7 24 -2.0 10 Mexico 37.3 19.3 18 0.0 11 Czech 33.0 6.0 27 3.0 12 Croatia 32.0 9.0 23 0.0 13 USA 28.7 13.7 15 0.0 14 Turkey 27.0 10.0 17 N/A 15 Paraguay 24.7 11.7 13 2.0 16 Japan 22.8 13.3 9.5 -0.5 17 Greece 22.0 0.0 22 3.0 18 South Korea 20.7 15.7 5 0.0 19 Romania 20.0 0.0 20 -1.0 20 Scotland 19.0 0.0 19 -1.0 21 Nigeria 16.7 2.7 14 0.0 22 Colombia 16.0 0.0 16 4.0 23 Senegal 15.7 8.7 7 0.0 24 Australia 15.3 11.3 4 1.5 25 Cameroon 15.0 3.0 12 -1.0 26 Cote d'Ivoire 14.0 6.0 8 0.0 27 Uruguay 13.7 2.7 11 -5.0 28 Iran 11.3 5.3 6 0.0 29 Saudi Arabia 10.0 8.0 2 -0.5 30 Guinea 9.5 0.0 9.5 0.5 31 South Africa 4.0 3.0 1 0.0 32 Honduras 3.0 0.0 3 N/A To discuss this on Bigsoccer, and for an FAQ on these rankings and links to previous editions, see this link. Mock Draw (England and Portugal are currently tied for the final seed. I decided to use England because their World Cup performance, aka the half of the formula that is set in stone, is higher) Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain Pot 2: Croatia, Czech, Greece, Netherlands, Portugal, Romania, Scotland, Turkey Pot 3: Cameroon, Colombia, Cote d'Ivoire, Guinea, Nigeria, Paraguay, Senegal, Uruguay Pot 4: Australia, Honduras, Iran, Japan, Korea Republic, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, USA Group A: South Africa, Croatia, Colombia, Mexico Group B: Brazil, Greece, Cote d'Ivoire, USA Group C: France, Romania, Senegal, Japan Group D: Spain, Portugal, Guinea, Honduras Group E: Argentina, Czech, Cameroon, Australia Group F: Italy, Scotland, Uruguay, Iran Group G: Germany, Turkey, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia Group H: England, Netherlands, Paraguay, Korea Republic