2010 Seeding Formula: September 2007 update

The new FIFA rankings are out for September, so it's once again time to look ahead to the next World Cup. This will start to get really exciting with the December edition, after the qualifying draws are done in late November. That's also the first month of the three that get locked into place for the rankings half of the formula. Top 7 teams seeded (South Africa automatically seeded as hosts) Total WC FIFA Change 1 Brazil 59.3 29.3 30 -2.0 1 Germany 59.3 30.3 29 1.0 1 Italy 59.3 27.3 32 2.0 4 Argentina 52.0 21.0 31 0.0 5 Spain 51.3 25.3 26 1.0 6 England 50.3 26.3 24 3.0 6 France 50.3 23.3 27 -2.0 8 Portugal 47.3 22.3 25 2.0 9 Netherlands 42.7 14.7 28 2.0 10 Mexico 39.3 19.3 20 -2.0 11 Croatia 32.0 9.0 23 -4.0 12 USA 29.7 13.7 16 0.0 13 Czech 28.0 6.0 22 -2.0 14 Poland 25.7 8.7 17 N/A 15 Japan 21.3 13.3 8 1.0 16 Romania 21.0 0.0 21 1.0 17 Paraguay 20.7 11.7 9 -1.5 18 South Korea 19.7 15.7 4 0.0 19 Scotland 19.0 0.0 19 N/A 20 Greece 18.0 0.0 18 -1.0 21 Uruguay 17.7 2.7 15 1.0 22 Cote d'Ivoire 17.0 6.0 11 -1.0 23 Nigeria 16.7 2.7 14 1.0 24 Australia 16.3 11.3 5 0.0 25 Tunisia 15.7 8.7 7 -1.0 26 Cameroon 15.0 3.0 12 -5.0 27 Colombia 13.0 0.0 13 2.5 28 Iran 11.3 5.3 6 0.0 29 Saudi Arabia 11.0 8.0 3 0.0 30 Guinea 10.0 0.0 10 N/A 31 South Africa 4.0 3.0 1 0.0 32 Canada 2.0 0.0 2 N/A Canada, Guinea, Poland, and Scotland are in the formula this month in place of Costa Rica, Morocco, Serbia, and Ukraine. For the first time I've added the column showing the change in total points from the previous month. Portugal edges back up a bit this month. For an FAQ on these rankings and links to previous editions, see this link. Probably the biggest thing that can affect this rankings is the UEFA pots for the November draw. For instance, Spain right now would be in the second pot which means that they could easily draw Italy, England, France, or Germany. UEFA qualifying involves lots of good teams and not a lot of games. For more on the pots as they stand now, click here. Mock Draw Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain Pot 2: Croatia, Czech Republic, Greece, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Scotland Pot 3: Cameroon, Colombia, Cote d'Ivoire, Guinea, Nigeria, Paraguay, Tunisia, Uruguay Pot 4: Australia, Canada, Iran, Japan, Korea Republic, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, USA Group A: South Africa, Portugal, Paraguay, Iran Group B: England, Scotland, Colombia, Mexico Group C: Argentina, Croatia, Cameroon, Korea Republic Group D: Brazil, Romania, Nigeria, USA Group E: Spain, Poland, Guinea, Saudi Arabia Group F: Italy, Czech Republic, Cote d'Ivoire, Japan Group G: Germany, Netherlands, Uruguay, Canada Group H: France, Greece, Tunisia, Australia