Thursday, June 04, 2009

Home Field Advantage in the Hex

There's no shame in losing to Costa Rica. A draw would've been nice, but a win? It's really difficult to come by away from home. Just to show you how hard it is, here's how home teams have performed over the past four hexes (W-L-D):

1998
: 15-2-13
2002: 14-10-6
2006: 20-6-4
2010: 7-0-3 (so far)

Total: 56-18-26

There have only been 18 away wins in 100 games. The top three teams (USA, Mexico, Costa Rica) each have only one home loss in that total.


Home Field Advantage

(measured by PPG)

1998 1.30
2002 0.40
2006 1.40
2010 2.10 (so far)


Total 1.14

The average home team has gotten 1.94 PPG vs 0.80 for away teams, for a home field advantage of 1.14 PPG. For perspective, the all time home field advantage in MLS is around 0.67 PPG.


List of away wins

(sorted by cycle)

El Salvador 0:1 Mexico
Canada 0:3 USA

Honduras 1:2 USA
Mexico 1:2 Costa Rica
Trinidad 2:4 Honduras
Trinidad 1:2 Jamaica
Honduras 2:3 Costa Rica
USA 2:3 Honduras
Trinidad 0:2 Costa Rica
Jamaica 1:2 Mexico
Honduras 0:1 Trinidad
Jamaica 0:1 Costa Rica

Costa Rica 1:2 Mexico
Trinidad 1:2 USA
Guatemala 0:2 Mexico
Panama 0:3 USA
Panama 1:3 Costa Rica
Panama 0:1 Trinidad

(none yet in 2010)

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